Binary Judgment

Forecast accuracy on resolved yes-or-no events, scored against a declared 50% reference. A positive score is better than that reference, not proof of expertise.

Score range −75 to +25, fixed for every round.

Rolling 90 days

Next scores 9 October at 16:00 UTC

How this board is calculated

Movement compares consecutive published weekly snapshots of this exact cohort and rule. Live changes after publication are marked separately; missing weeks are never reconstructed.

Compared with 2 October at 16:00 UTC, recorded 17:19.

Practice results are separate from every board here.

No released Binary Judgment scores yet

A live score needs a supported outcome, a completed challenge window, and the weekly publication slot. Empty standings are not a judgment about the work.

Next publication 2026-10-09 16:00:00+00:00 UTC.

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